SME Confidence Tracker

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Key themes from the latest survey:

  • SMEs face rising pressure, but growth plans endure
  • Costs and cashflow bite, but SMEs remain forward looking
  • Confidence has fallen, but many SMEs still expect growth
  • UK SMEs navigate headwinds while planning what’s next

You can explore the latest SME Confidence Tracker data and insights in more detail on the Q1 2026 Tracker page.

Bibby Financial Services’ SME Confidence Tracker is a twice-yearly insight report that has been running since 2015, capturing the sentiment, challenges and financial outlook of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the UK. It provides a balanced picture of how businesses are performing, how confident they feel about the months ahead and the pressures shaping their decisions. As well as tracking confidence levels over time, it explores operational challenges including cashflow, late payment behaviours, cost management and sector-specific trends.

The Tracker draws on research with 1,000 SMEs across the manufacturing, construction, transport, business services and wholesale sectors, helping to build a clear picture of SME conditions and the wider UK economic environment.

To support this analysis, the Tracker uses a Confidence Index to assess overall SME sentiment. The SME Confidence Index combines current profitability with expectations for sales growth over the next six months.

Explore the Q1 2026 SME Confidence Tracker

View latest insights

Why we run the SME Confidence Tracker

The SME landscape is constantly changing. The Tracker captures real-time perspectives on the issues that matter most, from access to finance and cashflow pressures to late payments, supply chain strain and hiring conditions. 

We use the insights to:

  • Enable customers to benchmark their experiences and understand opportunities and threats facing their sectors.
  • Guide policy conversations and highlight where SMEs need support.
  • Share trends with the media, industry bodies and intermediary partners to guide conversations. 

Key themes we explore

Although each edition reflects the latest trading conditions, several themes play a consistent central role:

Cashflow

Cashflow is a leading concern for SMEs, with rising costs, delayed income and tighter margins affecting confidence. The Tracker examines how many SMEs are under cashflow pressure, how easily they can meet day‑to‑day commitments, and how confident they feel about their working capital position.

Late payments and bad debt

Late payments are one of the biggest barriers to SME resilience. Each edition of the Tracker looks at how common late payment is, how long invoices typically take to be settled, and how often unpaid invoices turn into bad debt. This helps us to build a clearer picture of how payment behaviour affects business stability.

Confidence and outlook

We use a confidence index to understand how optimistic SMEs feel about the months ahead and their outlook for growth. Confidence is shaped by factors such as hiring plans, investment intentions, supply chain pressures and overall financial optimism, giving a rounded picture of business sentiment.

How BFS supports SMEs through these challenges

The Tracker is more than an insight project. It guides how we support businesses through our range of flexible funding solutions, including:

Watch one of our Client Stories for an example of how we support SMEs.

Fort employee

Frequently asked questions

Further insights

If you are new to BFS or don’t currently have an up-to-date point of contact, give us a call or fill out your details and we’ll be in touch.

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SME Confidence Tracker | Bibby Financial Services